The dynamics of exchange rates in emerging countries: a Post-Keynesian perspective for the cases of Brazil and Mexico between 2000 and 2017

  • Nathalie Tellez Marins UNICAMP
  • Daniela Magalhães Prates UNICAMP

Abstract

In the post-Keynesian view, the exchange rate is considered a financial asset class subject to investment decisions of investors in a hierarchical and asymmetric international monetary and financial system. Based on this theoretical reference, this paper conducts a comparative case study of the exchange rates of Brazil and Mexico during the 2000s. The goal is to highlight the influence of institutional on the exchange rate dynamics. The study covers six phases of the international liquidity cycle, using the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average method and the Pearson coefficient. The results show that, although the exchange rates studied have a very similar co-movement, there are important differences regarding their volatility and the impact of the theoretical determinants.

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Author Biography

Daniela Magalhães Prates, UNICAMP

Associate Lecturer at Instituto de Economia, UNICAMP and level 1 researcher at CNPq

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Published
2020-03-22
How to Cite
Tellez Marins, N., & Magalhães Prates, D. (2020). The dynamics of exchange rates in emerging countries: a Post-Keynesian perspective for the cases of Brazil and Mexico between 2000 and 2017. Brazilian Keynesian Review, 5(2), 269-302. https://doi.org/10.33834/bkr.v5i2.188
Section
Articles